Winter birds in Madison

Some of these have already arrived this season.  Some, I've never seen in Wisconsin.  Any guesses as to the, say, six most likely?  If so, or any additions, please email dfallow@yahoo.com

Northern Goshawk
Rough-legged Hawk
Gyrfalcon
Glaucous Gull
Snowy Owl
Long-eared Owl
Short-eared Owl
Saw-whet Owl
Red-breasted Nuthatch
Townsend's Solitaire
Varied Thrush
Bohemian Waxwing
Northern Shrike
American Tree Sparrow
Junco
Lapland Longspur
Snow Bunting
Pine Grosbeak
Purple Finch
Red Crossbill
White-winged Crossbill
Common Redpoll
Hoary Redpoll
Pine Siskin
Evening Grosbeak